Evidence based reasoning: evidence
Authored by Karsten Miermans
Other, Philosophy, Life Skills
6th Grade - University
Used 11+ times
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26 questions
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1.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
5 mins • 1 pt
Belief A: there is no fire in my apartment
Belief B: there is a fire in my apartment
New evidence: the fire alarm is ringing
What's your new confidence in beliefs A and B after the new evidence?
A became more likely, B less likely
B became more likely, A less likely
both A,B became more likely
both A,B became less likely
2.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
5 mins • 1 pt
Belief A: there is no fire in my apartment
Belief B: there is a fire in my apartment
New evidence: the fire alarm is ringing, but the fire alarm often rings without a fire
What's your new confidence in beliefs A and B after the new evidence?
A became more likely, B less likely
B became more likely, A less likely
both A,B became more likely
both A,B became less likely
3.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
5 mins • 1 pt
Belief A: there is not a fire in my apartment
Belief B: there is a fire in my apartment
New evidence: the fire alarm is not ringing
What's your new confidence in beliefs A and B after the new evidence?
A became more likely, B less likely
B became more likely, A less likely
both A,B became more likely
both A,B became less likely
4.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
5 mins • 1 pt
Belief A: there is a small fire in my apartment
Belief B: there is a big fire in my apartment
New evidence: the fire alarm is ringing
What's your new confidence in beliefs A and B after the new evidence?
A became more likely, B less likely
B became more likely, A less likely
both A,B became more likely
both A,B became less likely
5.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
5 mins • 1 pt
Belief A: Johny is vegetarian
Belief B: Johny is a vegan
New evidence: Johny buys a Weisswurst
What's your new confidence in beliefs A and B after the new evidence?
A became more likely, B less likely
B became more likely, A less likely
both A,B became more likely
both A,B became less likely
6.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
5 mins • 1 pt
Belief A: Johny is vegetarian
Belief B: Johny is not a vegetarian
New evidence: Johny buys a vegan salad which is 40% more expensive than non-vegan salad
What's your new confidence in beliefs A and B after the new evidence?
A became more likely, B less likely
B became more likely, A less likely
both A,B became more likely
both A,B became less likely
7.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
5 mins • 1 pt
Fact: I already know Johny doesn't eat meat.
Belief A: Johny is vegetarian
Belief B: Johny is a vegan (also doesn't eat milk,cheese&eggs)
New evidence: Johny buys a vegan salad which is 40% more expensive than a non-vegan salad
What's your new confidence in beliefs A and B after the new evidence?
A became more likely, B less likely
B became more likely, A less likely
both A,B became more likely
both A,B became less likely
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