Expected Value

Given the probability model in the table below, what is the expected value of the random variable?
  X        50          20        5
P(X)     0.1         0.3      0.6

• 14
• 4.67
• 5
• 7.5

If the expected value is negative, are you expected to win?

• yes
• no

A coin is flipped 3 times. If you get tails once you get $5, tails twice you get $15, and tails on all three flips you get $40. What is the expected amount of money you will get?

• $12.50
• $5
• $7.50
• $10

Find the mean (expected value) of the probability distribution.

• 85

• 83.2

• 87.1

• 84.4

Eva flips a coin. If she gets heads, she wins $4. If she gets tails, she loses $3. What is her expected value of a coin flip?

• $1

• $0.50

• -$0.50

• $0

Suppose you pay $1.00 to roll a fair die with the understanding you will get $3.00 back rolling a 4 or a 2, and nothing otherwise. Is this a fair game?

• yes

• no

A student group sells 500 raffle tickets for $2 each. At the drawing the top prize will be a gift certificate for $100. Second prize will be a $50 gift card and there will be five 3rd prizes, each a $20 gift card. Do you expect to win or lose (on average)? How much?

• lose an average of $5.50

• lose an average of $1.50

• win an average of $2.00

• lose an average of $10.00

In a certain community, 30% of households have 1 child, 43% have 2 children, and 27% have 3 children. If a household is selected at random, what is the expected number of children in that household? HINT: A Probability table may be helpful.

• 2.00
• 2.13
• 1.97
• 1.27

Eva flips a coin. If she gets heads, she wins $4. If she gets tails, she loses $3. What is her expected value of a coin flip?

• $1

• $0.50

• -$0.50

• $0

A stockbroker estimates that at the end of the year, there is a 40% chance a stock will be worth $50, a 35% chance it will be worth $60 and a 25% chance it will be worth $70.
What expected value does this broker assign to this stock's end-of-the-year price?

• $58.50
• $60.00
• $62.50
• $65.00