Understanding Probability and Predictions

If you have a bag with red, blue, and green marbles, and you pick one without looking, which colour is most likely to be picked if there are more red marbles than any other colour?

• Blue

• Green

• Red

When you flip a coin, what is the likelihood of it landing on heads?

• Certain

• Impossible

• Even chance

If it is cloudy and the weather forecast says it might rain, what is the likelihood of needing an umbrella?

• Likely

• Unlikely

• Impossible

• Certain

Which event is more likely: rolling a number greater than 4 on a standard six-sided die or rolling a number less than 3?

• Rolling a number greater than 4

• Rolling a number less than 3

• Both are equally likely

If you have a spinner with four equal sections coloured yellow, yellow, yellow, and yellow, what is the likelihood of it landing on yellow?

• Certain

• Even chance

• Unlikely

• Impossible

Which is more likely: picking a heart from a standard deck of cards or picking a red card?

• Picking a heart

• Picking a red card

• Both are equally likely

If you roll a die, what is the likelihood of rolling a 7?

• Certain

• Impossible

• Even chance

If you have a jar with 10 red lollies and 5 green lollies, what is the likelihood of picking a red lolly?

• More likely

• Less likely

• Equally likely

Which is more likely: seeing a kangaroo in the Australian outback or seeing a penguin?

• Seeing a kangaroo

• Seeing a penguin

• Both are equally likely

If you have a box with 3 apples and 7 oranges, what is the likelihood of picking an apple?

• More likely

• Less likely

• Equally likely

• Equally likely