Probability and Patterns in Bug Movement

Probability and Patterns in Bug Movement

Assessment

Interactive Video

Created by

Lucas Foster

Mathematics

8th - 12th Grade

Hard

The video tutorial explores the probability of a bug returning to its starting vertex on the tenth move in an equilateral triangle. The bug randomly moves to one of the two other vertices on each move. The tutorial calculates the probability for each move, identifies patterns, and generalizes the probability pattern to solve the problem. The final solution is verified, showing that the probability is 171/512, with m + n equaling 683.

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10 questions

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1.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

What is the initial setup of the problem involving the bug and the triangle?

A bug moves randomly between the vertices of a hexagon.

A bug moves randomly between the vertices of a pentagon.

A bug moves randomly between the vertices of an equilateral triangle.

A bug moves randomly between the vertices of a square.

2.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

What is the probability of the bug moving to vertex B on its first move?

1/3

1/4

1

1/2

3.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

How is the probability of the bug being at vertex A on the second move calculated?

By multiplying the probabilities of being at B and C.

By subtracting the probabilities of being at B and C.

By adding the probabilities of being at B and C.

By averaging the probabilities of being at B and C.

4.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

What pattern is observed in the probabilities as the moves progress?

The probabilities form a geometric sequence.

The probabilities remain constant.

The probabilities form an arithmetic sequence.

The probabilities alternate between two values.

5.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

What is the denominator of the probability fraction for the bug being at vertex A on the tenth move?

128

1024

512

256

6.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

How is the numerator of the probability fraction for the tenth move determined?

By dividing the numerator of the previous move by 2.

By subtracting the numerator of the previous move from the one before it.

By adding the numerators of the previous two moves.

By multiplying the numerator of the previous move by 2 and adding the one before it.

7.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

What is the final probability of the bug returning to the starting vertex on the tenth move?

85/256

85/512

171/512

171/256

8.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

What is the sum of m and n in the probability fraction m/n for the tenth move?

683

171

703

512

9.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

What is the pattern used to verify the probability calculation?

The pattern of using powers of two in the denominators.

The pattern of adding the probabilities of all vertices.

The pattern of averaging the probabilities of all vertices.

The pattern of multiplying the probabilities of all vertices.

10.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

What is the significance of the pattern verification in the conclusion?

It suggests a different approach to the problem.

It validates the derived formula and final answer.

It shows the probability calculation is unnecessary.

It confirms the probability calculation is incorrect.

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