Understanding Cassandras and Predictive Intelligence

Understanding Cassandras and Predictive Intelligence

Assessment

Interactive Video

History, Social Studies, Science

10th Grade - University

Hard

Created by

Ethan Morris

FREE Resource

The video explores the concept of 'Cassandra' events, where experts predict disasters but are ignored. It discusses the criteria for identifying true Cassandras, who possess 'sentinel intelligence.' The video examines historical and contemporary examples, including Robert Ford's prediction of ISIS's rise, and outlines four factors contributing to Cassandra events: the Cassandra, decision makers, the issue, and critics. The goal is to differentiate between accurate predictions and false alarms.

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10 questions

Show all answers

1.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

What is the main idea behind the concept of a Cassandra in the context of disaster prediction?

A person who predicts disasters based on dreams.

A mythical figure who causes disasters.

An expert who predicts disasters but is not believed.

A person who always predicts disasters accurately.

2.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

What is 'sentinel intelligence' as described in the book?

The ability to predict any event accurately.

The skill of predicting specific future events before others.

A method of analyzing past disasters.

A technique for gathering intelligence data.

3.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

Which of the following is NOT a factor in determining a Cassandra event?

The quality of the Cassandra.

The decision-makers involved.

The critics of the Cassandra.

The financial cost of the disaster.

4.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

In the context of the book, what role do critics play in a Cassandra event?

They help validate the Cassandra's predictions.

They always support the Cassandra.

They provide financial support for disaster prevention.

They often dismiss the Cassandra's warnings.

5.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

Why was Robert Ford's prediction about ISIS initially dismissed?

He was not an expert in the field.

His prediction was unprecedented.

His prediction was too vague.

He lacked credible data.

6.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

What is 'first occurrence syndrome' as mentioned in the case of Robert Ford?

A psychological disorder related to fear of disasters.

A situation where predictions are ignored because they are unprecedented.

A condition where predictions are always wrong.

A syndrome affecting decision-makers' judgment.

7.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

What was Robert Ford's role in the Middle East?

A journalist covering the Arab Spring.

A military general.

A humanitarian aid worker.

A career foreign service officer and Arabist.

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