Webber on French Election: One Third Chance of Le Pen Win

The video discusses the probability of Marine Le Pen becoming the president of France, analyzing the political landscape and voter dynamics. It explores the potential implications of her presidency on Europe, including foreign policy shifts and relations with NATO and the EU. The focus on domestic issues like the cost of living is highlighted as a key campaign strategy. The video also examines the deep political divisions in France and the challenges both candidates face in mobilizing voters for the second round of elections.

What is the estimated probability of Marine Le Pen becoming the president according to Professor Weber?

• 1/4

• 1/3

• 3/4

• 1/2

What major change does Marine Le Pen propose regarding NATO?

• Increase France's military budget

• Withdraw France from NATO's military command

• Create a new European military alliance

• Strengthen ties with NATO

How does Marine Le Pen plan to alter France's relationship with Germany?

• Downgrade the relationship

• Maintain the status quo

• Form a new alliance

• Strengthen the relationship

What domestic issue has Marine Le Pen focused on during her campaign?

• Environmental issues

• Education policy

• Cost of living

• Healthcare reform

How has the war in Ukraine influenced Marine Le Pen's campaign focus?

• Reduced focus on domestic issues

• Increased focus on foreign policy

• Emphasized cost of living and economic impact

• Shifted focus to environmental issues

What is the main political division in France today according to the transcript?

• Religious beliefs

• Identity values and international relations

• Economic status

• Social class

Which political figure's supporters are expected to abstain in the second round?

• Éric Zemmour

• Emmanuel Macron

• Marine Le Pen

• Jean-Luc Mélenchon