Bayes' theorem alternative proof (using algebra)

Bayes' theorem alternative proof (using algebra)

Assessment

Interactive Video

Mathematics

University

Hard

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The video tutorial explains how to derive Bayes theorem using algebra, focusing on a city with COVID testing. It covers calculating probabilities of having COVID, testing positive, and test accuracy. The tutorial derives Bayes theorem algebraically and provides alternative expressions. It concludes with a disclaimer about medical advice.

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7 questions

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1.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

What are the two types of people considered in the city for the problem setup?

People with COVID and people with allergies

People with COVID and people not infected with COVID

People with COVID and people with flu

People with COVID and people with a cold

2.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

How is the probability of selecting someone with COVID calculated?

a / (A + B + C + D)

(A + C) / (A + B + C + D)

B / (A + B + C + D)

(A + B) / (A + B + C + D)

3.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

What does the probability of testing positive given having COVID represent?

False negative rate

Test accuracy

False positive rate

Test sensitivity

4.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

What is the probability of having COVID given a positive test?

A / (A + C)

A / (A + B)

B / (A + B)

C / (A + B)

5.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

What is the first step in deriving Bayes Theorem using algebra?

Express the probability in terms of other probabilities

Calculate the probability of testing positive

Write the probability of having COVID given a positive test

Calculate the total number of people

6.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

Which term in the derived Bayes Theorem represents the probability of testing positive given having COVID?

First term

Third term

Fourth term

Second term

7.

MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION

30 sec • 1 pt

What is the significance of rewriting the probability of selecting someone who tested positive?

To calculate the false positive rate

To find another expression for the denominator

To simplify the expression

To determine the total population

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