Bayes' theorem alternative proof (using algebra)
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Mathematics
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University
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Practice Problem
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Hard
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7 questions
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1.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
30 sec • 1 pt
What are the two types of people considered in the city for the problem setup?
People with COVID and people with allergies
People with COVID and people not infected with COVID
People with COVID and people with flu
People with COVID and people with a cold
2.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
30 sec • 1 pt
How is the probability of selecting someone with COVID calculated?
a / (A + B + C + D)
(A + C) / (A + B + C + D)
B / (A + B + C + D)
(A + B) / (A + B + C + D)
3.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
30 sec • 1 pt
What does the probability of testing positive given having COVID represent?
False negative rate
Test accuracy
False positive rate
Test sensitivity
4.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
30 sec • 1 pt
What is the probability of having COVID given a positive test?
A / (A + C)
A / (A + B)
B / (A + B)
C / (A + B)
5.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
30 sec • 1 pt
What is the first step in deriving Bayes Theorem using algebra?
Express the probability in terms of other probabilities
Calculate the probability of testing positive
Write the probability of having COVID given a positive test
Calculate the total number of people
6.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
30 sec • 1 pt
Which term in the derived Bayes Theorem represents the probability of testing positive given having COVID?
First term
Third term
Fourth term
Second term
7.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
30 sec • 1 pt
What is the significance of rewriting the probability of selecting someone who tested positive?
To calculate the false positive rate
To find another expression for the denominator
To simplify the expression
To determine the total population
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