What is the Delphi Method? And How to Use the Delphi Method.

The video explains the Delphi method, a forecasting and decision-making tool developed by the Rand Corporation in 1969. It highlights the method's ability to eliminate biases through anonymity and structured rounds of questioning. The process involves selecting a diverse panel of experts, designing clear questions, and iterating until consensus is reached. While the method is effective in certain contexts, it requires careful management and can be resource-intensive. The video also discusses the importance of diversity and the potential biases that can arise if not properly managed.

What is the primary purpose of the Delphi Method?

• To facilitate group discussions

• To forecast and make decisions

• To eliminate the need for experts

• To predict technological advancements

How does the Delphi Method help in reducing biases during group discussions?

• By allowing only one expert to speak

• By using technology to predict outcomes

• By ensuring anonymity and individual responses

• By having a single leader make decisions

In which scenario is the Delphi Method most effective?

• When there is massive discontinuous change

• When there is a single expert available

• In evolutionary projects with existing expertise

• For projects requiring immediate decisions

What is the first step in implementing the Delphi Method?

• Finalizing the decision

• Analyzing previous data

• Identifying and selecting experts

• Conducting a group meeting

Why is it important to ensure anonymity in the Delphi Method?

• To reduce the number of rounds needed

• To speed up the process

• To prevent experts from knowing each other

• To allow experts to change their opinions without fear

What role does the facilitator play in the Delphi Method?

• To make the final decision

• To select the experts

• To manage the process and ensure anonymity

• To provide all the answers

Why is it crucial to craft high-quality questions in the Delphi Method?

• To limit the number of rounds

• To make the process more scientific

• To ensure quick responses

• To avoid vague and ambiguous answers

What is a major benefit of the Delphi Method in the modern world?

• It eliminates the need for meetings

• It provides immediate results

• It allows for global expert participation

• It requires fewer resources

What is a potential weakness of the Delphi Method?

• It requires face-to-face meetings

• It is not suitable for any type of project

• It can be biased by a single expert

• It may take a long time to reach consensus

How can diversity among experts benefit the Delphi Method?

• It simplifies the decision-making process

• It ensures all experts agree

• It introduces new ideas and reduces bias

• It speeds up the process