Goldman's Hui Shan on China

The video discusses China's economic outlook, highlighting concerns about growth rates, regional disparities exacerbated by COVID-19, and the property market's impact on the economy. It also covers inflation dynamics, noting minimal exported inflation, and examines the yuan's stability amid trade expectations.

What is the expected GDP growth for China in the next year according to the forecast?

• 6.0%

• 5.2%

• 4.5%

• 3.1%

Which sector is most directly linked to the property market in China?

• Agriculture

• Healthcare

• Construction

• Technology

What is the main factor that dictates the speed of the property market slowdown in China?

• Consumer confidence

• Government revenue

• Credit supply

• Demographics

What is the relationship between producer prices and export prices in China?

• Producer prices have no effect on export prices

• Export prices are unaffected by producer prices

• Domestic consumer prices are more affected by producer prices

• Producer prices affect export prices more than domestic consumer prices

What is the current stance of the Chinese Central Bank regarding inflation?

• They are highly concerned about inflation

• They are focused on reducing PPI

• They are not concerned due to low CPI

• They are planning to increase interest rates

What is the role of the trade surplus in the strength of the Chinese yuan?

• It strengthens the yuan

• It has no impact on the yuan

• It weakens the yuan

• It causes the yuan to fluctuate

What is the expected impact of potential tariff exemptions on the Chinese yuan?

• Negative impact

• No impact

• Uncertain impact

• Positive impact