What a Trump Impeachment Would Mean for Markets

The video discusses the macroeconomic events of the 1970s, such as the oil crisis and the Bretton Woods Agreement, and compares them to current economic conditions. It explores the potential impact of impeachment on markets, emphasizing that markets are more influenced by policies than political figures. Public opinion on impeachment is divided, with polls showing mixed support across party lines. The video also examines the effects of US political issues on emerging markets and interest rates, and concludes with a discussion on trade negotiations and their potential resolutions.

What major event in the 1970s led to a significant drop in the S&P 500?

• The Watergate scandal

• The Vietnam War

• The quadrupling of oil prices

• The end of the Cold War

How do markets generally react to impeachment discussions according to the transcript?

• They focus on the individuals involved

• They are unaffected by political events

• They are more concerned with policies than people

• They always experience a downturn

What is a potential consequence of impeachment on the market in 2019?

• Higher treasury yields

• Increased consumer confidence

• A 26% market crash

• A drop in earnings growth

What percentage of Democrats, according to the poll, favored beginning the impeachment process?

• 65%

• 55%

• 45%

• 75%

What historical event is mentioned as having no significant market impact?

• The impeachment of President Clinton

• The Watergate scandal

• The impeachment of John Tyler

• The Cuban Missile Crisis

What is a potential impact of U.S. interest rate hikes on emerging markets?

• No impact on emerging markets

• Pressure on vulnerable currencies

• Increased investment in emerging markets

• Strengthening of emerging market currencies

What is the anticipated outcome of trade discussions before the midterm elections?

• Complete resolution of all trade issues

• No progress on trade discussions

• A principle-based resolution

• Increased tariffs on all imports