Lowy Institute's McGregor on US-China, Taiwan & Pelosi

The transcript discusses the strategic actions of China, focusing on its long-term and short-term goals, including military drills and trade sanctions. It highlights the changing power dynamics between the US and China, particularly in the context of a potential naval blockade. The transcript also covers Speaker Pelosi's diplomatic visit to Asia, the US policy stance, and Congress's role in shaping US-China relations. Finally, it addresses the concept of economic decoupling and its potential impact on the global economy.

What is Beijing's primary aim during the Taiwan Straits crisis?

• To completely change the status quo

• To incrementally change the status quo in its favor

• To form an alliance with Taiwan

• To withdraw from the crisis

How has China's power dynamic changed compared to 25 years ago?

• China has lost its influence

• China is in a much more powerful position

• The power balance remains the same

• China is less powerful now

What is the main risk associated with China's potential naval blockade?

• It might strengthen US-China relations

• It could result in a peace treaty

• It could lead to a genuine economic blockade

• It would have no impact on the economy

Why did Speaker Pelosi visit Taiwan despite objections?

• To negotiate a trade deal

• To announce a new policy

• To meet the South Korean president

• As a legacy project

How did the Biden administration respond to Pelosi's trip to Taiwan?

• They organized the trip

• They tried to persuade her not to go

• They fully supported it

• They ignored the trip

What role has Congress historically played in US-China relations?

• It has always been passive

• It has been more radical than the White House

• It has never influenced US-China relations

• It has only focused on trade

What is the potential impact of the Taiwan Straits crisis on economic decoupling?

• It might force a larger decoupling

• It could lead to complete economic integration

• It will have no impact on decoupling

• It will strengthen economic ties