`You Have to Remain Short Sterling': SocGen's Juckes

The transcript discusses the potential impact of Brexit on the British pound, highlighting concerns about a no-deal Brexit and its implications for the currency. It explores the political dynamics in the UK, particularly the role of the Conservative Party and the possibility of Boris Johnson becoming Prime Minister. The discussion also covers the potential outcomes of a general election, the likelihood of a second referendum, and the challenges posed by opinion polls in predicting political events. Overall, the transcript reflects the uncertainty and complexity surrounding Brexit and UK politics.

What is the worst short-term outcome for the British currency according to the speaker?

• A soft Brexit

• A second referendum

• A no-deal Brexit

• A general election

What was the purpose of the private member vote led by Labour?

• To call for a second referendum

• To rule out a no-deal Brexit

• To support a no-deal Brexit

• To initiate a general election

If Boris Johnson becomes Prime Minister, what does the speaker suggest is more likely?

• A no-deal Brexit

• A coalition government

• A second referendum

• A softer Brexit deal

According to opinion polls, what is the predicted outcome if a general election were held?

• A Conservative majority

• A Labour minority government

• A coalition government led by the Green Party

• A Liberal Democrat majority

What does the speaker imply about the reliability of opinion polls?

• They are highly accurate

• They are not reliable

• They are improving over time

• They are only useful for bookmakers