Trump's Rise and Fall Doesn't Rattle Markets: Winkler

The video discusses the market's muted reaction to the election, highlighting the S&P 500's irregular climb and low volatility compared to past elections. It explores reasons for this, including market indifference to presidential candidates and disbelief in Trump's election chances. The peso's correlation with Trump's poll numbers is noted, while no such correlation exists with the ruble despite Trump's ties with Putin. The role of central banks in influencing market stability is considered, and potential volatility as the election nears is discussed.

What are the two reasons suggested for the market's minimal reaction to the election?

• Markets are highly reactive to political changes and fear of economic instability.

• Investors are focused on international markets and Trump's strong economic policies.

• The election is too far away to impact market decisions.

• Markets are indifferent to the president and disbelief in Trump's election.

How does the current election year's market volatility compare to previous years?

• It is the lowest since 1992.

• It is average compared to previous years.

• It is unpredictable and fluctuating wildly.

• It is the highest since 1992.

What role do central banks play in the current market stability?

• They have no influence on market stability.

• They contribute to market volatility.

• Their participation helps maintain low volatility.

• They only affect international markets.

How has Trump's campaign rhetoric specifically affected the Mexican peso?

• It has strengthened the peso.

• It has had no effect on the peso.

• It has stabilized the peso.

• It has caused the peso to weaken.

What is the correlation between Trump's relationship with Putin and the Russian ruble?

• There is a strong positive correlation.

• There is a strong negative correlation.

• There is zero correlation.

• The ruble has become more volatile.