Bond Market to Keep DC, Deficit in Check in 2025: Tchir

The video discusses the potential changes in spending direction due to the debt ceiling situation and the role of the bond market as a check on power in Washington DC by 2025. It highlights concerns about growing interest expenses and the deficit, with a focus on the potential impact of DOGE on market efficiencies. The discussion also covers fiscal policy, tax cuts, and the possibility of achieving gains to address the deficit. The video concludes with predictions on bond yields, inflation pressures, and the economic impact of tariffs and shopping seasons.

What is the anticipated role of the bond market in Washington D.C. by 2025?

• To increase government spending

• To act as a check on power

• To reduce interest rates

• To eliminate the deficit

What is the potential impact of DOGE on the deficit?

• It could increase the deficit

• It might help manage the deficit

• It will have no impact

• It will eliminate the deficit

What is the current state of fiscal discipline in Washington D.C.?

• Lacking discipline

• Moderately disciplined

• Completely undisciplined

• Highly disciplined

What is the predicted range for the 10-year bond yield?

• 2% to 3%

• 3% to 4%

• 5% to 6%

• 6% to 7%

What factors could influence the bond yield predictions?

• Reduced interest rates

• Increased taxation

• Inflation pressures and economic activity

• Decreased spending