If Fed Hikes in December, What's Next for 2017?

The transcript discusses the probability of a December rate hike and the factors influencing it, such as upcoming employment reports. It shifts focus to 2017, analyzing market expectations and the Fed's potential actions. The discussion highlights the dovish and hawkish views within the Fed, concerns about inflation and unemployment, and the possibility of the Fed moving faster than market expectations. The transcript concludes with potential future actions by the Fed based on economic data.

What is the main factor that will determine if the Fed moves in December?

• The stock market performance

• The current inflation rate

• The upcoming employment reports

• The opinions of the speakers this week

How have market expectations for 2017 changed compared to 2016?

• They have increased significantly

• They have remained the same

• They have decreased significantly

• They have become unpredictable

What combination of factors is likely to influence the Fed's pace in the second half of next year?

• Rising inflation and stable unemployment rates

• Stable inflation and rising unemployment rates

• Falling inflation and stable unemployment rates

• Rising inflation and falling unemployment rates

At what unemployment rate do concerns increase for even the more dovish Fed members?

• 5%

• 4.5%

• 4%

• 3.5%

What historical challenge does the Fed face when trying to manage low unemployment and high inflation?

• It often leads to a stock market crash

• It causes a rapid increase in interest rates

• It usually results in a recession

• It leads to a decrease in consumer spending