Kashkari: Mexico Trade War Could Be Costly for U.S. Economy

The video discusses the potential economic impacts of tariffs, particularly focusing on the differences between trade relations with Mexico and China. It highlights the risks of a tariff battle with Mexico due to the integrated nature of the economies and the potential for significant economic slowdown. The discussion also touches on the difficulty of predicting when tariffs will start to affect economic data and the importance of monitoring these developments.

What sectors are initially affected by higher tariffs from Mexico?

• Technology and healthcare

• Automobiles and consumer confidence

• Real estate and tourism

• Agriculture and education

How does the U.S. trade relationship with Mexico differ from that with China?

• The U.S. is more integrated with China than Mexico.

• Trade with Mexico is less significant than with China.

• The U.S. has a deeper economic integration with Mexico.

• The U.S. imports more from Mexico than from China.

What could be a consequence of a tariff battle with Mexico?

• Improved business confidence

• Strengthened U.S. economy

• Increased U.S. exports

• Economic slowdown in the U.S.

Why is it difficult to predict the economic impact of tariffs?

• The impact is immediate and predictable.

• Tariffs only affect the stock market.

• The effects depend on when tariffs are implemented.

• Tariffs have no real impact on the economy.

What should be monitored to understand the impact of tariffs?

• Changes in weather patterns

• Rhetoric turning into actual tariffs

• Shifts in political leadership

• Fluctuations in global oil prices