Trump May Need to Avoid Imposing More Tariffs; Fmr. Assistant USTR

The transcript discusses the complexities of trade negotiations under President Trump, highlighting the unpredictability and potential risks associated with the December 15 tariffs. It explores Trump's negotiation strategies, the political implications of trade deals, and the potential for a phase one deal to mitigate criticism from both political parties. The discussion emphasizes the balance between appearing tough on China and addressing the economic impact on Trump's base.

What is one of the main challenges in predicting the outcome of trade negotiations under President Trump?

• The status quo is maintained.

• There is a lack of clear direction.

• Negotiations are highly predictable.

• Tariffs have no impact on markets.

What is a potential risk of the December 15 tariffs for the U.S. economy?

• They might have no effect on consumers.

• They could boost economic growth.

• They could harm the Trump voter base.

• They might strengthen the Chinese economy.

Why might President Trump consider delaying the December 15 tariffs?

• To increase tariffs on other countries.

• To focus on domestic policies.

• To avoid negative impacts on his voter base.

• To strengthen the Chinese economy.

How might the optics of being tough on China benefit Trump during the 2020 campaign?

• It might lead to economic instability.

• It could strengthen his campaign promise.

• It might alienate his voter base.

• It could weaken his political rivals.

What is a potential political advantage for Trump in securing a phase one trade deal?

• It helps him avoid criticism from both political parties.

• It guarantees a strong economic downturn.

• It allows him to claim complete victory.

• It eliminates all tariffs immediately.