Goldman's Kostin Expects Economic Soft Landing

The video discusses potential economic scenarios, focusing on the likelihood of a soft landing versus a hard landing recession. It explains that a soft landing would see the US economy grow modestly, while a hard landing could lead to a significant drop in earnings. Market projections are provided, with potential outcomes for the S&P 500 under different scenarios.

What is the expected growth rate of the US economy in the soft landing scenario?

• 1%

• 2%

• 0.5%

• 1.5%

In a hard landing scenario, by what percentage do earnings typically fall during a recession?

• 10%

• 11%

• 15%

• 13%

What is the predicted earnings per share in the scenario where earnings fall by 11%?

• $180

• $200

• $210

• $190

In the discussed scenario, what is the potential lowest point for the S&P 500?

• 3450

• 3300

• 3150

• 3000

What is the expected market correction percentage before the S&P 500 rebounds to 4000?

• 20%

• 15%

• 10%

• 5%