Political market expert predicts 'relatively' easy Labour win in Wakefield by-election

The video discusses the high likelihood of Labour winning in Wakefield with a significant majority, while the outcome in Tiverton Honiton is less certain, with the Liberal Democrats having a 72% chance of winning. The potential impact on the Tories and Boris Johnson's leadership is also considered, especially if they suffer significant losses.

What is the predicted chance of Labour winning in Wakefield?

• 85%

• 50%

• 98%

• 72%

What is the estimated majority for Labour in Wakefield?

• 3000 votes

• 7000 votes

• 5000 votes

• 6000 votes

What is the likelihood of the Liberal Democrats winning in Tiverton Honiton?

• 72%

• 50%

• 80%

• 60%

What could be considered a significant loss for the Tories in the election?

• Losing by 8000 votes

• Losing by 5000 votes

• Losing by 10000 votes

• Losing by 2000 votes

What event might increase pressure on Boris Johnson's leadership?

• A large vote margin loss

• A quiet summer

• A successful party conference

• Winning both seats