Economic Boosts, Risks of the Next U.S. President

The transcript discusses US GDP growth projections, potential economic impacts of Clinton and Trump presidencies, and the effects of trade policies on US and global growth. It highlights the possibility of above-trend growth, the influence of fiscal policies under different presidencies, and the risks associated with rising protectionism. The discussion also touches on the importance of open trade for economic growth and the potential consequences of reversing trade liberalization.

What is the expected short-term GDP growth rate under a Clinton presidency?

• 2.5%

• 3%

• 1.5%

• 2%

Which presidency is likely to result in a larger fiscal stimulus due to unified control of Congress?

• Trump

• Clinton

• Neither

• Both

What was the significant fiscal shift that occurred between 2011 and 2013?

• Sharp fiscal contraction

• Increase in taxes

• Introduction of new trade policies

• Increase in government spending

How has open trade contributed to economic growth over the past decades?

• It has had no impact

• It has been a major driver of growth

• It has only benefited developing countries

• It has decreased GDP growth

What is the expected outcome of a significant shift towards protectionism?

• Increased global trade

• Immediate economic growth

• No change in economic conditions

• Stalling of trade liberalization momentum