Would ‘Brexit’ Really be a ‘Disarmament’ Moment for U.K.?

The transcript discusses the differing opinions on Brexit, highlighting the elite's belief in the difficulty of leaving the EU and the challenges faced by the 'out' campaign. It critiques the reliability of opinion polls and betting odds, emphasizing the importance of the final weeks before the referendum. Economic concerns, such as the UK's current account deficit, are raised, questioning the ability to attract foreign capital post-Brexit. Potential influences on the referendum outcome, including a possible Greek debt crisis and political events in Europe, are also considered.

What is the general sentiment among the elite groups regarding the UK's exit from the EU?

• They think it is already decided.

• They are indifferent about the outcome.

• They believe it will be challenging to achieve.

• They are confident it will happen easily.

Why are opinion polls considered unreliable according to the transcript?

• They have consistently made errors in past referenda and elections.

• They are too expensive to conduct.

• They only survey a small portion of the population.

• They are influenced by media bias.

What economic concern is highlighted regarding the UK's financial situation?

• Decreasing GDP

• Rising unemployment

• High inflation rates

• Current account deficit

What is a potential risk factor that could influence the UK's referendum outcome?

• A new trade deal with China

• A Greek debt crisis

• A change in US presidency

• A natural disaster in the UK

Which political development in Europe is mentioned as a concern for the UK?

• The formation of a new trade bloc

• The rise of the Freedom Party in the Netherlands

• The expansion of the EU

• The election of a new French president