South Africa's Godongwana: 10% Chance Ramaphosa Resigns

The transcript discusses the impact of uncertainty on investors and the political trajectory of South Africa. It highlights historical political disruptions and compares them to the current situation under President Rama Posa. The likelihood of political change is analyzed, with a focus on potential successors and future elections. The discussion emphasizes the importance of stability and the popularity of the current president compared to the party.

What is the main concern for investors regarding South Africa's political situation?

• The country's geographical location

• The economic growth rate

• The weather conditions

• The potential change in leadership

What historical events are mentioned as similar challenges faced by South Africa?

• The end of apartheid

• The departure of Thabo Mbeki and Jacob Zuma

• The departure of Nelson Mandela

• The 2010 FIFA World Cup

What is the estimated probability of President Ramaphosa leaving office?

• 10%

• 50%

• 75%

• 25%

What is the main hope for President Ramaphosa's political future?

• He starts a new political party

• He wins the party election

• He retires peacefully

• He moves to another country

How does President Ramaphosa's popularity compare to his party?

• Less popular than the party

• Equally popular as the party

• More popular than the party

• Not popular at all