Jim O'Neill Sees 60% Chance for 'Some Derivative' of May's Brexit Deal

The transcript discusses the probabilities of different Brexit outcomes, with a focus on the likelihood of a no-deal Brexit, the possibility of the UK never leaving the EU, and the potential for a deal to pass. It highlights the EU's potential readiness to renegotiate at the last moment and the significance of the House of Commons reaching a majority agreement. The EU's strategic response to the UK's position is also considered, with an emphasis on the complexities of the negotiation process.

What percentage does the speaker assign to the possibility of a no-deal Brexit?

• 40%

• 10%

• 20%

• 30%

According to the speaker, what is the likelihood of the UK never leaving the EU?

• 20%

• 40%

• 10%

• 30%

What recent development in the House of Commons is mentioned as significant?

• A new Brexit deal proposal

• A majority agreement on a certain issue

• A vote to delay Brexit

• A decision to hold a second referendum

What does the speaker suggest about the EU's negotiation tactics?

• The EU is likely to concede immediately

• The EU is playing strategic games

• The EU has no interest in negotiating

• The EU will follow the UK's lead

What could be a potential consequence for the EU if they remain intransigent?

• It could have no impact

• It could strengthen their position

• It could lead to a quick resolution

• It could backfire on them