Rubenstein: Donald Trump Could Win the Election

The transcript discusses the speaker's past political experiences, particularly working in the White House for Jimmy Carter and the lessons learned from underestimating Ronald Reagan. It then analyzes the current political landscape, focusing on the potential outcomes of the election between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. The discussion includes an examination of the electoral map, demographic changes, and historical election patterns. The speaker concludes by assessing the odds of each candidate winning and emphasizes the importance of campaign strategies.

What was the speaker's initial perception of Ronald Reagan's candidacy?

• He was considered too young.

• He was seen as a strong candidate.

• He was expected to have a clear message.

• He was thought to be too far to the right.

Which factor is mentioned as an advantage for Hillary Clinton in the election?

• Her strong debate performances.

• The increasing minority vote.

• Her experience in foreign policy.

• The support from former presidents.

What historical trend is noted regarding U.S. presidential elections after two consecutive terms?

• The incumbent president always wins.

• The election is usually uncontested.

• The same party usually wins again.

• The opposing party often wins.

How many times since World War Two has the party switched after two consecutive presidential terms?

• Six out of six times.

• Three out of six times.

• Five out of six times.

• Four out of six times.

What is the speaker's final assessment of the election outcome?

• The election is likely to be competitive.

• Hillary Clinton is guaranteed to win.

• Donald Trump has no chance of winning.

• The election will be decided early.