The Market Risk of a Donald Trump Presidency

The transcript discusses market concerns about potential gridlock in Congress and its impact on interest rates. It analyzes election volatility, focusing on Clinton and Trump's standings. The potential outcomes of a Trump election are explored, including trade wars and economic implications. The discussion extends to currency wars and market volatility, emphasizing the effects on the dollar and emerging markets.

What does the market anticipate as a result of a gridlock in Congress?

• High volatility and high interest rates

• Low volatility and low interest rates

• High volatility and low interest rates

• Low volatility and high interest rates

What is one potential consequence of Trump's trade policies?

• Increased GDP due to technological advancements

• Stable GDP with no significant changes

• Decreased GDP due to trade restrictions

• Increased GDP due to trade agreements

Why might a trade war with China be politically challenging for Trump?

• China is a major military ally

• Trade wars are generally popular among voters

• China has no significant economic ties with the US

• Many US companies benefit from trade with China

What is a likely effect of a Trump presidency on the US dollar?

• The dollar will weaken significantly

• The dollar will lose its global reserve status

• The dollar will remain stable

• The dollar will strengthen

Which currency is mentioned as a proxy for emerging markets?

• Japanese Yen

• Australian Dollar

• Euro

• US Dollar