There Is Risk Turkish Central Bank Might Under-Deliver, Malik Says

The video discusses the current state of inflation in Turkey, highlighting the impact of the weakening lira and the need for proactive monetary and fiscal policies. It projects inflation to rise significantly by the first quarter of next year, potentially reaching 23%. The discussion also covers the Central Bank's role, with market expectations for interest rate hikes ranging from 300 to 700 basis points. The risk of the Central Bank under-delivering on these expectations is also addressed.

What is the expected trend for inflation in Turkey as discussed in the first section?

• Inflation is expected to remain stable.

• Inflation is expected to fluctuate unpredictably.

• Inflation is expected to accelerate further.

• Inflation is expected to decrease significantly.

By the first quarter of next year, what inflation rate is projected for Turkey?

• 18%

• 25%

• 23%

• 20%

What is one of the key measures suggested to support the Turkish lira?

• Proactive monetary and fiscal policies

• Decreasing exports

• Reducing interest rates

• Increasing government spending

What is the range of basis point hikes being considered by the Central Bank?

• 100 to 200 basis points

• 300 to 700 basis points

• 500 to 800 basis points

• 700 to 1000 basis points

What is a potential risk mentioned regarding the Central Bank's actions?

• Focusing solely on fiscal policy

• Over-delivering on market expectations

• Under-delivering on market expectations

• Ignoring inflation trends