China Economy May Grow 6.4% in 2019, Standard Chartered Says

The video discusses China's economic growth, highlighting a forecasted GDP growth of 6.4%, which is above market consensus. It addresses the downside risks in China due to a slowing housing market, falling industry profits, and a less optimistic export outlook. The video also covers China's supportive policies, including credit growth and fiscal measures. It examines CPI and PPI trends, noting potential inflation risks and the impact on industrial profits and nominal GDP. The global and domestic implications of China's economic trends are also explored, emphasizing the potential for deflationary effects on the world economy.

What is the forecasted GDP growth for China, and how does it compare to market consensus?

• 5.5%, below market consensus

• 6.4%, above market consensus

• 6.0%, in line with market consensus

• 7.0%, significantly above market consensus

What are the main factors contributing to the downside risks in China's economy?

• Rising oil prices and strong export growth

• Slowing housing market and falling industry profits

• Strong industrial growth and rising exports

• Increasing consumer spending and stable housing market

What is the expected trend for CPI inflation in China for 2019?

• It is expected to fluctuate widely

• It is expected to fall below 1%

• It is expected to remain around 2%

• It is expected to rise significantly above 3%

Why is PPI inflation a major focus for the market currently?

• Because it is expected to stabilize

• Because it has more downside room and may contract

• Due to its impact on consumer prices

• Due to its potential to rise sharply

What are the potential global implications of China's falling PPI inflation?

• It will have no impact on global markets

• It could result in deflation being exported globally

• It will boost global industrial profits

• It may lead to global inflation