AMP Capital's Mousina on Recession Concerns

The video discusses the potential for recessions in the US and Australia, highlighting economic indicators and inflation concerns. It examines China's economic recovery post-lockdown and its impact on Australia, particularly through commodity trade. Rising commodity prices are affecting global economies, with a focus on China's fiscal stimulus efforts to boost growth. The discussion includes the potential for passing increased input costs to consumers and the implications for unemployment and economic stability.

What is the estimated probability of a US recession in the next year according to the transcript?

• 100%

• 75%

• 50%

• 25%

Which factor is NOT mentioned as contributing to Australia's positive economic outlook?

• Commodity prices

• Tourism

• Government spending

• Net exports

What has been the primary benefit for Australia due to the rise in global commodity prices?

• Stronger currency

• Improved trade balance

• Increased tourism

• Higher inflation

How has China's fiscal stimulus in 2020 compared to the current year?

• It was less than the current year

• It was equal to the current year

• It was more than the current year

• There was no fiscal stimulus in 2020

What is the expected growth rate for China's economy this year?

• 5% to 5.5%

• 4% to 4.5%

• 4.5% to 5%

• 3% to 3.5%