Deutsche Bank's Huynh Doesn't Expect U.S. Recession in 2019

The video discusses the implications of yield curve inversions as indicators of potential recessions, focusing on the 10 to 2-year spread. It predicts no inversion or recession in 2019, with interest rates expected to peak in the first half of the year. The global economic outlook is influenced by US-China trade talks, with recent data showing weaknesses in Chinese retail sales but optimism for a trade deal.

What indicators suggest that the US economy might be performing better than Europe and China?

What are the implications of the lowest retail sales growth in China since 2003?