Can You Trust Polling Data? Is Biden Really Set to Win the Presidency - TLDR News

The video discusses the increasing attention on polling, especially in light of the 2020 election. It examines the reliability of polls, referencing the 2016 election where polls predicted a Clinton victory. The video explains that while some polls were off, most were close to the actual results. It highlights the differences in candidate dynamics between 2016 and 2020, noting Biden's higher approval compared to Clinton. The video addresses arguments against polling reliability, such as oversampling Democrats and the 'shy Trump voter' hypothesis, finding little evidence for these claims. It concludes that while polls are generally reliable, they should be viewed with caution, especially in swing states, as they reflect current sentiments rather than predict outcomes.

What changes have been made in polling practices since the 2016 election?

What factors can influence polling results as election day approaches?

What is the significance of swing state polling compared to national polling?