Deep Dive: Odds of Rate Hike, Chemical Industry, Yields

The video discusses the probability of a rate increase at the upcoming FOMC meeting, highlighting a rise from 17% to 24.2% after a jobs report. Experts like Mohammed Al Arian suggest the odds are underestimated. The Chemical Activity Barometer is introduced as a leading economic indicator, showing a 3% year-over-year increase. The video also examines foreign holdings of U.S. debt, noting a decline that hasn't significantly affected Treasury yields.

What did Mohammed Al Arian suggest about the likelihood of a Fed rate increase?

What trend was observed in foreign holdings of U.S. debt?