Can Vice President Harris beat Trump? Historian who's predicted 9 of the last 10 elections weighs in

Alan Lichtman, a history professor at American University, discusses his presidential election prediction system, which has accurately predicted the last 10 elections. He analyzes the impact of President Biden's withdrawal on the Democrats' chances, noting that it cost them the incumbency key but helped retain the party contest key. Lichtman suggests that Harris is now the consensus nominee and discusses the challenges Trump faces, including upcoming legal issues. He also evaluates Harris's decision to retain much of Biden's campaign structure. Lichtman plans to make his final prediction after the Democratic convention, considering potential social unrest.

What are the four shaky keys mentioned that could predict the Democrats' defeat?

What is the significance of the Democratic convention according to the professor?

What does the professor suggest about Trump's campaign in relation to Harris?