Virus Outbreak Could Take 150 Basis Points Off of China Growth: UBP

Virus Outbreak Could Take 150 Basis Points Off of China Growth: UBP

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Business, Architecture

University

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The transcript discusses the impact of a virus on China's economic growth, predicting a reduction of 100-150 basis points. It also examines the global economic impact, estimating a 0.2-0.3% decrease in growth, with supply chain disruptions as a potential wild card. Travel bans, such as those by British Airways, and potential US-China flight blocks are highlighted as factors affecting global growth. The importance of air travel for technology manufacturing is noted. The transcript concludes with a discussion on China's potential economic stimulus measures, emphasizing containment before stimulus deployment.

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2 questions

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1.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

3 mins • 1 pt

What are the potential consequences of halted flights to China on technology manufacturing?

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2.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

3 mins • 1 pt

What structural measures might China pursue with the expected stimulus?

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