The stock market could predict who's going to win the election

The video explores the relationship between stock market performance and presidential election outcomes. It highlights that historically, stocks have performed better under Democratic presidents compared to Republicans. The video discusses the limited influence presidents have on the economy and how economic conditions can sway voter behavior. It presents analyses showing that stock market performance, particularly the Dow Jones and S&P 500 indices, can be reliable predictors of election results, although not infallible.

According to the analysis, what does a positive S&P 500 indicate about the incumbent's chances in an election?

What is the significance of the S&P 500 posting new record highs in relation to the upcoming elections?