Yuan Will Grind Lower, go Past 7 Per Dollar, Says Ellerston Capital's Gillespie

Yuan Will Grind Lower, go Past 7 Per Dollar, Says Ellerston Capital's Gillespie

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The transcript discusses the market's expectations regarding the Chinese currency and the potential impact of President Trump's tweets on the G20 meeting outcomes. Initially, the probability of an agreement at the G20 was low, but Trump's tweets increased optimism. The Chinese currency faces pressure to weaken, but interventions by the State Bank aim to stabilize it. The potential delay of tariff increases could positively affect the market, but the fundamental economic differences between China and the US suggest continued pressure on the Chinese currency.

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5 questions

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1.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

3 mins • 1 pt

What factors contributed to the increase in the probability of an agreement at the G20 meeting?

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2.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

3 mins • 1 pt

How did the speaker's views change regarding the prospects of an agreement at the G20?

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3.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

3 mins • 1 pt

What is the significance of the term 'circuit breaker' in the context of the discussion?

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4.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

3 mins • 1 pt

What potential outcomes does the speaker foresee if there is a delay in the implementation of tariffs?

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5.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

3 mins • 1 pt

What are the challenges mentioned regarding the Chinese economy compared to the US economy?

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