Bloomberg Economics Presentation at the Bloomberg New Economy Gateway Europe

The video discusses the evolution of economic forecasting from a simpler past to a complex present, requiring interdisciplinary knowledge. It highlights the challenges posed by global political ideologies, strategic rivalries, and crises like the pandemic. The speaker examines inflation trends, labor market dynamics, and the impact of interest rates on credit conditions. The forecast suggests a modest recession in the US and stagnation in the Eurozone and UK. The video also explores the long-term implications of higher interest rates on fiscal positions and the potential effects of globalization and geopolitical tensions on global GDP.

What does the speaker predict about the future of interest rates?

What are the expected consequences of higher interest rates on government fiscal positions?

How does the speaker describe the potential impact of regionalization on global trade?