The 'Unknowables' That Could Help Trump Win

The transcript discusses the potential impact of voter behavior on political commentary and market stability, highlighting the uncertainty surrounding the US election and its comparison to other political events like the Greek referendum and Brexit. It also touches on the significance of the Italian referendum and the possible outcomes of the US election, including the probabilities of different scenarios involving Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.

Discuss the significance of the December 4th referendum mentioned in the text.

What are the two extremes regarding the US election outcomes as described in the text?