The Rate Debate: Where Will the 10-Year Yield Peak?

The video discusses the 10-year yield expectations, projecting a peak of about 3.1% this year. It explores the possibility of the yield surpassing 3.24% and reaching 3.25% in the current cycle. A yield of 3.5% could slow growth and raise recession concerns for 2023. The 10-year yield has factored in nine expected rate hikes, with inflation posing a significant challenge. As the economy weakens, the Federal Reserve may become less aggressive. Future yields are likely to be lower, but the market has not yet shown significant capitulation.

What factors are mentioned that could lead to a weakening economy?

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How does the text describe the current market situation regarding capitulation?

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