Sit Fixed Income's Doty Doesn't See a Recession in the U.S. Any Time Soon

The transcript discusses the significant outflows from US leveraged loans and the market's reaction to comments from the Fed, particularly Jay Powell. It highlights the supply-demand imbalance in the government market and its impact on economic signals, such as the widening spreads and yield curve inversion. Despite recession fears, the transcript argues against an imminent recession, citing rising income levels, low unemployment, and increased consumer spending. The discussion also touches on the potential for the Treasury to issue more long-term bonds to address the yield curve concerns.

What factors are contributing to the current recession fears in the US?

In what ways might the Treasury's actions influence the yield curve and recession concerns?