Will U.S. Stay Out of Recession for Next Two Years?

Tony Dwyer predicts the US economy will avoid recession until 2018, boosting the S&P 500 by 14%. He bases this on stable financial conditions and positive economic indicators. Historical trends show significant S&P 500 rallies in post-election years, lending credibility to his forecast. Despite skepticism, improving forecast accuracy supports his bold prediction.

How does the chart of economic surprises relate to the strength of the economy according to the text?

What is Abigail Doolittle's stance on Tony Dwyer's predictions?