Goldman's Kostin on Market Forecast, Liquidity, Margins

Goldman's Kostin on Market Forecast, Liquidity, Margins

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Business

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The transcript discusses market trends, focusing on the S&P 500, interest rates, and liquidity. It highlights predictions for the market, including potential rate hikes by the Fed and their impact on market valuation and earnings. The discussion also covers sources of demand for equities, such as corporate repurchases and pension funds. Economic scenarios for 2023 are explored, with a focus on earnings and potential recession impacts. Finally, investment strategies are considered, with a preference for larger cap companies due to their stronger balance sheets and ability to maintain margins.

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7 questions

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1.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

3 mins • 1 pt

What are the expectations for the S&P 500 in the first quarter according to the text?

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2.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

3 mins • 1 pt

How does the speaker view the relationship between interest rates and the equity market?

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3.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

3 mins • 1 pt

What is the anticipated impact of liquidity tightening on the market?

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4.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

3 mins • 1 pt

What are the expected corporate repurchase levels for next year compared to this year?

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5.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

3 mins • 1 pt

What is the speaker's view on earnings growth for the upcoming year?

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6.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

3 mins • 1 pt

What factors are contributing to the vulnerability of earnings according to the speaker?

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7.

OPEN ENDED QUESTION

3 mins • 1 pt

What is the speaker's baseline assumption regarding the economic outlook for next year?

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