How Reliable Are Brexit Forecasts?

The video discusses the reliability of economic forecasts, particularly in the context of the Brexit debate. It highlights the Treasury's scenario planning, which omits favorable outcomes, and the market's reaction to polling data. The Leave campaign's strategy focuses on immigration and the NHS, questioning the credibility of George Osborne's statements.

What are the arguments made by the Leave campaign regarding economic forecasts?

How does the Treasury justify its economic forecasts despite potential inaccuracies?

What is the significance of the polling data mentioned in the text?

What concerns are raised about immigration and the National Health Service?

What is the UK government's stance on Turkey joining the EU as discussed in the text?