WorksheetsExpected Value
Total questions: 20
Worksheet time: 1hrs 16mins
Eva flips a coin. If she gets heads, she wins $4. If she gets tails, she loses $3. What is her expected value of a coin flip?
$1
$0.50
-$0.50
$0
Suppose you pay $1.00 to roll a fair die with the understanding you will get $3.00 back rolling a 4 or a 2, and nothing otherwise. Is this a fair game?
yes
no
A student group sells 500 raffle tickets for $2 each. At the drawing the top prize will be a gift certificate for $100. Second prize will be a $50 gift card and there will be five 3rd prizes, each a $20 gift card. Do you expect to win or lose (on average)? How much?
lose an average of $5.50
lose an average of $1.50
win an average of $2.00
lose an average of $10.00
X 50 20 5
P(X) 0.1 0.3 0.6
Calculate the missing probability
1
.1
.2
.3
Games of chance do not involve
money.
skill.
probability.
technology.
Number of Storms 0 1 2 3
Probability 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.2
How many storms should we expect in August?
A child asks his parents for some money. The parents make the following offers.
Father’s offer: The child flips a coin. If the coin lands heads up, the father will give the child $20. If the coin lands tails up, the father will give the child nothing.
Mother’s offer: The child rolls a 6-sided die. The mother will give the child $3 for each dot on the up side of the die.
Which offer has the greater expected value?
(hint - create a provability model)
mother's offer; $10.5
father's offer; $10
father's offer; 20$
mother's offer; 10$
A fair number cube with faces numbered from 1 to 6 is rolled. What is the probability that the number rolled is some number other than 6?
5/6
1/2
1/3
1/6
A spinner has 5 sections with the following numbers on it:
3 4 4 5 6
Each section is equally likely.
It is spun 75 times.
Roughly how many times would you expect him the spinner to land on 4?
5
15
25
30
X 50 20 5
P(X) 0.1 0.3 0.6
P(X=x) 0.1 0.7 0.1 0.1
Find the expected value.
Each night, your best friend phones you either 1, 2, or 3 times. There is a 35% of getting one call, a 40% chance of getting two calls, and a 25% chance of getting three calls. What is the expected number of phone calls?
-1.8
1.8
1.9
-1.9
Phoenix tells Omar she will give him $1 if he rolls a number divisible by three or $3 dollars if he rolls a five on a single die. If Omar rolls a one, he needs to give Phoenix $5. How much can Omar “expect” to make in the long run if he plays this game with Phoenix?
0
1.5
-1.5
-1
