
AP Stats 5.3 FF
Authored by Emily Brandon
Mathematics
12th Grade
CCSS covered
Used 26+ times

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About
This quiz focuses on conditional probability and independence within the context of AP Statistics, specifically targeting 12th-grade students enrolled in Advanced Placement Statistics. The questions assess students' understanding of conditional probability notation and calculations, independence testing, tree diagrams, and complement probability rules. Students must demonstrate mastery of fundamental probability concepts including reading two-way tables, interpreting conditional probability statements like P(C|S), calculating probabilities using the complement rule for "at least one" scenarios, and determining whether events are independent by comparing P(A) with P(A|B). The mathematical reasoning required includes fraction manipulation, decimal conversion, and the ability to work with both conditional and joint probabilities using real-world data from surveys and political contexts. Created by Emily Brandon, a Mathematics teacher in US who teaches grade 12. This quiz serves as an excellent formative assessment tool for AP Statistics students working through Unit 5 on probability, particularly as they prepare for the AP exam in May. Teachers can use this assessment as a warm-up activity to gauge student readiness before introducing more complex probability topics, or as targeted practice following instruction on conditional probability. The quiz works effectively as homework to reinforce classroom learning or as a review activity before summative assessments. The real-world contexts using Pew Research data and election statistics help students connect abstract probability concepts to meaningful applications they encounter in media and research. This assessment aligns with AP Statistics Learning Objectives VAR-4.E (calculating conditional probabilities) and VAR-4.F (determining independence of events), supporting students' preparation for both the multiple-choice and free-response sections of the AP examination.
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6 questions
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1.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
5 mins • 1 pt
The Pew Research center randomly selected 100 mothers age 40 to 44 in 1976, 1994, and 2014 and asked each mother how many children they have. The two way table summarizes the responses.
Suppose we randomly select one of the survey respondents. Define events C: have 4 or more children, S: 1976, and F: 2014.
Find P(C|S)
.8
.22
.4
.333
Tags
CCSS.HSS.CP.A.3
CCSS.HSS.CP.B.6
2.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
5 mins • 1 pt
The Pew Research center randomly selected 100 mothers age 40 to 44 in 1976, 1994, and 2014 and asked each mother how many children they have. The two way table summarizes the responses.
Suppose we randomly select one of the survey respondents. Define events C: have 4 or more children, S: 1976, and F: 2014.
Given that the chosen mother was not surveyed in 1976, what's the probability that she has 4 or more children?
.22
.13
.26
.4
Tags
CCSS.HSS.CP.A.1
CCSS.HSS.IC.A.1
3.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
5 mins • 1 pt
The Pew Research center randomly selected 100 mothers age 40 to 44 in 1976, 1994, and 2014 and asked each mother how many children they have. The two way table summarizes the responses.
Suppose we randomly select one of the survey respondents. Define events C: have 4 or more children, S: 1976, and F: 2014.
Are the events "Surveyed in 1976" and "4 or more children" independent?
Yes
No
It cannot be determined
Tags
CCSS.HSS.CP.A.3
CCSS.HSS.CP.A.2
CCSS.HSS.CP.B.8
4.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
15 mins • 1 pt
In the 2016 election, 30 states went to the republican candidate and 20 states went to the Democratic candidate. Of the 30 states that went Republican, 29 were in the continental United States. Of the 20 states that went Democratic, 19 are in the continental United States. One State is selected at random.
Find the probability that a randomly selected state is in the continental U.S. and went republican. (Hint: draw a tree diagram on your desk - do not erase it)
.29
.58
.30
.02
Tags
CCSS.HSS.CP.A.1
CCSS.HSS.CP.A.4
5.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
5 mins • 1 pt
In the 2016 election, 30 states went to the republican candidate and 20 states went to the Democratic candidate. Of the 30 states that went Republican, 29 were in the continental United States. Of the 20 states that went Democratic, 19 are in the continental United States. One State is selected at random.
If we select 4 states at random (with replacement) what is the probability that at least 1 of the states is in the continental U.S. and went Republican?
0.9689
0.42
0.958
.0311
Tags
CCSS.HSS.CP.A.1
CCSS.HSS.CP.B.7
6.
MULTIPLE CHOICE QUESTION
5 mins • 1 pt
In the 2016 election, 30 states went to the republican candidate and 20 states went to the Democratic candidate. Of the 30 states that went Republican, 29 were in the continental United States. Of the 20 states that went Democratic, 19 are in the continental United States. One State is selected at random.
Given that a randomly selected state is not in the continental U.S., what is the probability that it went Republican?
0.50
.02
1
0.20
Tags
CCSS.HSS.CP.A.1
CCSS.HSS.CP.A.3
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