Getting to the Matrix

True

False

forces people to think long-term

takes future generations serious

learns toward sustainability

Looks beyond current interests

focuses on physical attributes of imaginary worlds

constructs imaginary worlds

Requires specialized hardware and prototyping equipment

must be included in all scenario planning projects

defines how to get from now to a desired future

answers the question of what the final state of something looks like

You could tell stories if they weren't

We want to tell the most expansive stories possible

People wouldn't connect to the stories

The matrix would be hard to document

that all the uncertainties make sense

the scenario plans has internal logical consistency

scenario titles work together as a whole

is a standardized test that can be applied to a scenario to see if it works or not

force people to doubt their assumptions

include a suggestion of a scenario value

be specific and relatable

complement other uncertainties

provide context but are not mentioned by name

should be considered characters in the narratives

should be discarded

end up on a list for people to read about

looks at history to inform futures

facilitates imagining how a future might happen

ties uncertainties to historical realities

ensures that futures are accurate and predictable

evolve from a number of possible options with the best narrative framework winning

always evolve from a single matrix

are easy to see once the voting on uncertainties is complete

don't need to be tested, they just are what they are