Marble Experiment Probability Analysis

The video tutorial explores a probability experiment involving marbles. Initially, the theoretical probability of picking a magenta marble is calculated as 1/2. The experiment is conducted with 10 trials, showing reasonable variation. However, when extended to 10,000 trials, the results deviate significantly, suggesting potential biases. Possible explanations for this anomaly are discussed, such as differences in marble weight or texture.

What is the theoretical probability of picking a magenta marble from the bag?

• 1/3

• 3/4

• 1/2

• 1/4

In the initial 10 experiments, how many magenta marbles were picked?

• 5

• 6

• 7

• 8

Why is it reasonable to pick 7 magenta marbles out of 10 trials?

• Because the bag was not shaken properly

• Because of the small number of trials

• Because blue marbles are more slippery

• Because magenta marbles are heavier

After 10,000 trials, what was the observed probability of picking a magenta marble?

• 70%

• 60%

• 50%

• 80%

What is the significance of conducting 10,000 trials in the experiment?

• It shows that blue marbles are more common

• It highlights the deviation from expected results

• It confirms the theoretical probability

• It reduces the chance of error

What could be a reason for the unexpected results in the large-scale experiment?

• The blue marbles are heavier

• The bag was too small

• The marbles were not mixed properly

• The experiment was not repeated enough times

How might the texture of the marbles affect the experiment results?

• It affects the grip and likelihood of picking

• It makes the marbles more durable

• It makes the marbles more colorful

• It changes the weight of the marbles

What should be considered if the experimental results differ significantly from the theoretical probability?

• There might be other influencing factors

• The theoretical probability is incorrect

• The experiment should be stopped

• The marbles should be replaced

What is a possible explanation for picking more magenta marbles than expected?

• The experimenter prefers magenta

• The bag is too large

• The blue marbles are more attractive

• The marbles are not equally distributed

What should be done if the experimental probability significantly deviates from the theoretical probability?

• Ignore the results

• Re-evaluate the experiment setup

• Change the marbles

• Conduct fewer trials