The Rate Debate: Where Will the 10-Year Yield Peak?

The video discusses the 10-year yield expectations, projecting a peak of about 3.1% this year. It explores the possibility of the yield surpassing 3.24% and reaching 3.25% in the current cycle. A yield of 3.5% could slow growth and raise recession concerns for 2023. The 10-year yield has factored in nine expected rate hikes, with inflation posing a significant challenge. As the economy weakens, the Federal Reserve may become less aggressive. Future yields are likely to be lower, but the market has not yet shown significant capitulation.

What is the expected peak of the 10-year yield in the fourth quarter?

• 4.0%

• 2.5%

• 3.8%

• 3.1%

What yield percentage is considered enough to slow growth and raise recession concerns?

• 2.5%

• 4.0%

• 3.0%

• 3.5%

How many rate hikes has the 10-year yield likely priced in?

• Seven

• Five

• Nine

• Eleven

What is the expected trend for the 10-year yields a year from now?

• Fluctuating

• Lower

• Higher

• Unchanged

What has not yet been seen in the market according to the final section?

• Decreased interest rates

• Stable growth

• Increased inflation

• Proper capitulation