Payrolls Surge the Most Since Early '12: Can It Continue?

The video discusses recent employment numbers, highlighting a 0.4% wage increase and a steady labor participation rate. It examines inflation expectations, predicting benign inflation and a potential Federal Reserve interest rate hike in 2015. The impact of demographics on labor participation is analyzed, noting an aging workforce. The video also explores market reactions to economic data, suggesting a muted response due to fully valued markets and potential earnings pressure from the oil sector. Overall, a slow growth trajectory is anticipated for the next year.

What was the three-month moving average for employment numbers mentioned in the video?

• 278 thousand

• 300 thousand

• 250 thousand

• 320 thousand

What is one reason given for the steady labor participation rate despite rising wages?

• Government policies

• High inflation

• Demographic pressures

• Lack of job opportunities

What percentage of the U.S. population is expected to be over the age of 65 in the next 15 years?

• 20-21%

• 16%

• 18%

• 25%

What is the expected timeline for the Federal Reserve to consider raising interest rates?

• No plans to raise rates

• Next year

• Second half of the year

• First half of the year

What is one factor that could delay the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates?

• Global disinflationary pressure

• Continued wage inflation

• High unemployment

• Strong economic growth

What is the expected total return for the S&P in 2015 according to the video?

• 3-4%

• 8-9%

• 5-6%

• 10-12%

Why are some investors still hesitant to invest in the stock market rally?

• Lack of government support

• Recent economic downturns

• Unstable political climate

• High inflation rates