Soussa: Inflationary Pressures to Keep Rising

The video discusses Egypt's economic reforms, focusing on privatization and investment challenges. It analyzes inflation trends and the central bank's limited role in addressing them. The impact of the Ukraine war on Egypt, particularly in wheat imports and tourism, is examined. The video also covers sovereign risk scores and forecasts for energy prices, highlighting the divergence between oil importers and exporters.

What has been a major constraint on Egypt's economic growth?

• High levels of foreign debt

• Insufficient labor force

• Overextended role of the state

• Lack of natural resources

What is the expected peak inflation rate in Egypt due to currency depreciation?

• 12%

• 20%

• 9%

• 17%

What is the Central Bank of Egypt's expected approach to handling inflation?

• Minimal rate hikes

• Currency devaluation

• Aggressive rate hikes

• Increasing government spending

What percentage of Egypt's wheat imports come from Russia and Ukraine?

• 50%

• 80%

• 60%

• 70%

How has the Ukraine war affected Egypt's tourism sector?

• Increased tourism from Europe

• Increased domestic tourism

• Loss of Russian and Ukrainian tourists

• Stable tourism levels

Which countries are benefiting from higher energy prices according to the sovereign risk scores?

• Technology exporters

• Oil importers

• Oil exporters

• Agricultural exporters

What is the long-term outlook for Brent crude oil prices?

• Increasing to $125

• Fluctuating around $90

• Staying at $115

• Decreasing to $100